Lumen Futures
Blog
Market notes, program updates, and the occasional look behind the curtain at how a futures funding firm actually runs.
- Getting Started
- Trading Strategies
- Technical Analysis Patterns
- Risk & Psychology
- Platforms & Tools
- Funded Trading
- Rules & Regulation
Trading StrategiesSeptember 14, 2026What Is the Opening Range Breakout? The Rule and What Testing Found
The opening range breakout enters when price moves past a level set off the session open, and two freely available studies of it disagree: significant on crude oil futures, nothing that passed on Nasdaq micros.
Risk & PsychologySeptember 12, 2026Futures Position Sizing: How Many Contracts Can You Actually Hold?
Position size in futures is stop distance in ticks multiplied by tick value, divided into a risk budget — and on a funded account that budget is the published distance to the drawdown line rather than a number you pick.
Technical Analysis PatternsSeptember 11, 2026The Head and Shoulders Pattern: What It Is and What Testing Found
A head and shoulders is three peaks with the middle one highest, read as a trend reversal once price crosses the neckline, and in the published test on US equities positions taken that way lost money on average.
Risk & PsychologySeptember 10, 2026Is Day Trading Gambling? What the Law and the Data Say
US law regulates futures under the Commodity Exchange Act rather than as gaming, but in the two largest published studies of individual day traders, most people lost money.
Trading StrategiesSeptember 9, 2026How to Read the COT Report (Commitments of Traders)
The COT report shows who holds each futures market, released Fridays with Tuesday's positions. What commercial, non-commercial and spreading mean, and what it can't tell you.
Rules & RegulationSeptember 8, 2026Limit Up and Limit Down in Futures: How Price Limits Work
Price limits cap how far an equity index futures contract may move in a session, and whether hitting one halts trading depends on the contract and the time of day.
Funded TradingSeptember 7, 2026How Are Prop Firm Payouts Taxed?
Where a firm pays a trader as an independent contractor, the payout is nonemployee compensation reported on Schedule C with self-employment tax on top, not a Section 1256 gain carrying 60/40 treatment.
Risk & PsychologySeptember 6, 2026Can You Lose More Than You Invest in Futures?
In a futures account carried by a US broker, the deposit is not a floor: federal rules require the customer to be told they may lose it all and still be liable for whatever the account is short.
Platforms & ToolsSeptember 5, 2026Sim Trading vs Live Trading: What Changes When the Order Leaves
A simulated order is filled by software and never reaches a market, while a live futures order in a US market is executed on a CFTC-designated exchange and has to be cleared.
Rules & RegulationSeptember 4, 2026How Are Futures Taxed? Section 1256 and the 60/40 Rule
Futures traded on a US exchange fall under Section 1256, which splits every gain 60% long-term and 40% short-term regardless of holding period and marks open positions to market at year end.
Rules & RegulationSeptember 3, 2026Does the Pattern Day Trader Rule Apply to Futures?
The pattern day trader rule is a FINRA margin requirement for securities margin accounts at broker-dealers, so it does not govern a futures account — and FINRA is replacing it for securities anyway.
Getting StartedSeptember 1, 2026Day Trading Margin vs Overnight Margin in Futures
Overnight margin is the exchange requirement for carrying a futures position through the close; day trading margin is a lower number your broker offers you, and it disappears before the session ends.